Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 1.628071 1.861842 2.118625 2.421827 2.770350 3.158776 3.625002
2025-08-17 1.216052 1.502957 1.844150 2.280619 2.825366 3.484442 4.344841
2025-08-24 0.984441 1.299159 1.699456 2.247697 2.981918 3.935319 5.273945
2025-08-31 0.812602 1.134849 1.569268 2.200640 3.099921 4.342452 6.202900
2025-09-07 0.726092 1.066706 1.550462 2.292162 3.409109 5.041887 7.634452
2025-09-14 0.643683 0.989245 1.503388 2.330356 3.639670 5.653537 9.025984
2025-09-21 0.564190 0.902897 1.428363 2.310903 3.773061 6.128447 10.269174
2025-09-28 0.485853 0.806444 1.322954 2.225144 3.782809 6.400122 11.210617
2025-10-05 0.456697 0.785301 1.334456 2.330928 4.121961 7.258039 13.279140
2025-10-12 0.431615 0.767140 1.347451 2.438915 4.476556 8.186368 15.610470
2025-10-19 0.401289 0.735484 1.332242 2.492801 4.737648 8.976846 17.797508
2025-10-26 0.371707 0.701217 1.307547 2.524521 4.958783 9.717773 19.993965
2025-11-02 0.330297 0.641074 1.230134 2.449933 4.972358 10.076524 21.513063
2025-11-09 0.288435 0.575010 1.133573 2.324829 4.867022 10.182086 22.517550
2025-11-16 0.262688 0.537842 1.089298 2.300609 4.968512 10.732658 24.593243
2025-11-23 0.238129 0.500090 1.039221 2.257279 5.022296 11.187373 26.526188
2025-11-30 0.228930 0.493446 1.052873 2.353956 5.400889 12.419335 30.509615
2025-12-07 0.215714 0.476476 1.042283 2.394682 5.656434 13.405009 34.059336
2025-12-14 0.199144 0.450064 1.007758 2.375440 5.766738 14.060795 36.882494
2025-12-21 0.179404 0.414146 0.947642 2.287587 5.696958 14.264559 38.549715
2025-12-28 0.174814 0.412950 0.967415 2.396678 6.137082 15.819344 44.171668
2026-01-04 0.170458 0.411772 0.987034 2.507955 6.599192 17.501522 50.462903
2026-01-11 0.163006 0.402155 0.985055 2.563493 6.921360 18.858196 56.059833